SGN Deep Dive: Pittsburgh Steelers
By SGN Staff
The Steelers are one of the best run organizations in the NFL. They have a great and large fanbase and have continued success under their current head coach. With all that said they are usually a little overrated from a betting perspective, not Cowboys territory, but you can expect a slight increase for them yearly .... except this season. SGN gets the feeling that many out there are lower on Pittsburgh than they should be and much higher on the upstarts in the division rather than the boring old guys.
Speaking of old guys, the Steelers entire season can be defined simply as the Big Ben-less 2019. Big Ben went down and so did the team but as the team spiraled out of control we did get a glimpse of some things that will give hope for 2020. Juju and Conner certainly looked like they missed Ben more than anyone else, or maybe they missed the field stretching ability of Antonio Brown? Things went bad for them but as they went down some youngsters like Dionte Johnson stepped up. The biggest step up though came from the defense that was led by Fitzapatrick and Watt. You could argue, and we do, that both are top 3 at their positions in the entire league.
The division is tough but we do think that most of the public are overrating the Ravens. We've heard "experts" go as far as saying the Ravens might go undefeated this season. Hell, we've interviewed a few of them. The Browns are a trendy bounce back pick and everyone loves Cincy's offensive potential with Burrow at the helm. For SGN, the "Steady Eddy", or in this case steady Tomlin, is being overlooked.
The Steelers defense will be stout this season but how much value will we have with them? They went an amazing 4-12 to the under last year and we expect the lines to adjust so where can we make some defensive cash? How about on TJ Watt to win the Defensive MVP? Watt is 16:1 and there is good reason why as he has gotten better every year he's been in the league. Watt increased his sack total from 13 to 14 1/2, his forced fumbles went from 6 to 8 and he even picked off 2 passes. We'll be in on Watt for D.P.O.Y
Another player prop our Oracle of Odds, Tom Barton likes.. is Big Ben to take home the Comeback Player of the Year award. Sure, we all want to root for the favorite in Alex Smith and his return, but his starting job isn't even secure. Ben walks into an offense with superstar potential and has the starting job firmly in hand. We don't expect him to lead the league in passing like he did a few years ago but at 4:1 odds we'll be on him bouncing back and taking home the award. We don't want to go crazy and don't see much value in his 50:1 MVP odds even if they seem huge.
As far as the team goes our Staff is buying in on everything. The linesmakers have set their team total at 9 which we are certainly in on the Over. They went 8-8 with Duck Hodges last year for crying out loud. Will they make the playoffs comes in at -120 and that's a layup for me as well. The AFC is a little light on value at just 12:1 but if you want the long shot we'llsprinkle some on 30:1 for the Super Bowl.
Keep in mind that the Steelers face the 2nd easiest schedule in the NFL this season with their opponents went 22 games under .500 in 2019.